Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.027873 0.030507 0.033115 0.035885 0.038741 0.041593 0.044651
2025-01-12 0.022242 0.026446 0.030731 0.035397 0.040313 0.045316 0.050774
2025-01-19 0.017579 0.022700 0.028065 0.034034 0.040435 0.047047 0.054350
2025-01-26 0.015516 0.021422 0.027741 0.034885 0.042640 0.050728 0.059732
2025-02-02 0.013347 0.019796 0.026849 0.034944 0.043833 0.053183 0.063664
2025-02-09 0.010947 0.017699 0.025272 0.034110 0.043928 0.054347 0.066105
2025-02-16 0.009528 0.016619 0.024744 0.034351 0.045120 0.056620 0.069664
2025-02-23 0.008102 0.015410 0.023983 0.034256 0.045877 0.058364 0.072591
2025-03-02 0.006735 0.014159 0.023095 0.033954 0.046346 0.059743 0.075076
2025-03-09 0.005610 0.013118 0.022392 0.033812 0.046951 0.061232 0.077641
2025-03-16 0.004336 0.011747 0.021218 0.033067 0.046830 0.061881 0.079250
2025-03-23 0.003565 0.010998 0.020764 0.033132 0.047599 0.063490 0.081886
2025-03-30 0.002560 0.009871 0.019908 0.032845 0.048126 0.065011 0.084641
2025-04-06 0.001591 0.008625 0.018865 0.032341 0.048434 0.066335 0.087238
2025-04-13 0.000635 0.007009 0.017210 0.031019 0.047743 0.066499 0.088519
2025-04-20 0.000377 0.006698 0.017306 0.031840 0.049541 0.069455 0.092885
2025-04-27 0.000091 0.006013 0.016820 0.031897 0.050409 0.071332 0.096021
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004951 0.015694 0.031091 0.050217 0.071970 0.097744
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004472 0.015398 0.031324 0.051244 0.073985 0.100991
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003883 0.014875 0.031233 0.051860 0.075509 0.103667
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003258 0.014223 0.030941 0.052211 0.076707 0.105958
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002749 0.013708 0.030804 0.052730 0.078086 0.108437
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002074 0.012791 0.030085 0.052513 0.078590 0.109906